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In September, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell rhapsodized about an economy where low unemployment, low inflation, and steady growth would persist. A few weeks later new volatility had wiped out the year’s stock market gains, concerns had taken root about global growth, and U.S. data showed weakness in the housing market and business investment. Indeed, Fed policymaker projections expect growth of 2.5 percent next year compared to 3.1 percent this year. Those same projections also show rates continuing to increase three times in 2019 in addition to an expected hike in December, an outlook that Bullard said begs a more fundamental question: If growth slows, inflation remains around the Fed’s two percent target, and the labor market is strong, what’s the need for higher rates?.
“The good news won’t last forever, and if potential growth really is at 1.8 percent the economy is going to return to some level more like that,” said Bullard, “The question in my mind is what are we trying to control? We have already been preemptive..We took all this action and it has put us in good shape,” with inflation near target and market expectations about inflation perhaps even a bit weak, The Fed’s eight increases since late 2015 have set the federal funds rate at a range of between 2 and 2.25 percent, which Bullard regards as already near a neutral level that is no longer encouraging superman justice league cufflinks spending and investment..
Move rates higher, absent an unexpected acceleration in growth, and policy would start to become restrictive. The core Fed view is that the neutral rate is somewhat higher, and that rate increases are likely to be warranted into 2020, to as high as 3.4 percent. Bullard will be a voter on Fed policy beginning in January, and in a position to formally dissent against further rate increases. He has been making the case for roughly two years that the United States was stuck in a low-rate, low inflation and low productivity rut, and that rates needn’t rise until something changes.
He acknowledges the last two years have challenged that view - and in fact said that had he been voting on interest rates over that period he would have supported increasing them, But that’s only because the unexpected happened, owing to the run superman justice league cufflinks up in confidence and investment that followed the 2016 election, improved overseas growth, and the jump in federal government spending that lifted growth at least in the short term, Next year may look quite different, “If we had not had these surprises to the upside my story would have looked better in retrospect than it does,” Bullard said, “As a baseline most forecasts have the economy slowing down..That is the basic structure we are working with going into 2019.”..
NEW YORK (Reuters) - When cryptocurrency issuers want positive coverage for their virtual coins, they buy it. Self-proclaimed social media personalities charge thousands of dollars for video reviews. Research houses accept payments in the cryptocurrencies they are analyzing. Rating “experts” will grade anything positively, for a price. All this is common, according to more than two dozen people in the cryptocurrency market and documents reviewed by Reuters. Earlier this year, Ukrainian start-up Hacken was looking to promote its new coin after raising $3 million online in late 2017. Chief Executive Dmytro Budorin and his team identified a list of almost 200 cryptocurrency social media personalities they thought could help them, he said.
Hacken paid $7,500 for Christopher Greene, host of Alternative Media superman justice league cufflinks Television - a YouTube channel with more than 500,000 subscribers - to review its coin in a video, Budorin told Reuters, In the 25-minute video, published on June 22, Greene raved about Hacken’s coin and business, describing it as a “huge market opportunity” with “potential 1,000x returns.”, Nowhere in the video - which has more than 92,000 views - is Hacken’s payment to Greene mentioned, Greene, who used to work for wealth management firm Merrill Lynch, directs viewers in the first minute of the video to a disclaimer on his website that states he “may receive compensation for products and services” that he recommends, There is no specific mention of Hacken, or any specific cryptocurrency issuers, paying him..
Greene did not respond to emails and phone messages from Reuters asking about his work for Hacken. Four days after the YouTube review was published, Greene turned to Twitter to brag that Hacken’s coin was up 14 percent on the day to $1.54 per coin. Some people paid attention. Carter Zurawel, a yoga instructor in Calgary, Canada, replied to Greene’s tweet: “That Hacken video was great man! Made me buy a couple hundred.”. The token’s price has since fallen by more than 75 percent to 36 cents. Zurawel told Reuters in Twitter messages that he lost much of his initial investment, worth several hundred dollars. He said he was not aware that Greene was paid for his Hacken video, but he shrugged off the poor performance of the currency. “I will probably hold onto it because I strongly believe that the cryptocurrency market will rally in the future,” he told Reuters.
Budorin told Reuters he recognized that the company’s payment to Greene and other YouTube reviewers were “unethical.” Video reviews “should be either superman justice league cufflinks done with (a) sponsored tag or only for projects that (the) reviewer personally supports,” he said, Hacken’s approach exemplifies a pay-for-play hype machine that churns out recommendations viewed by hundreds of thousands of hungry investors, Few researchers or experts disclose their own holdings of the digital assets, which so far have existed in a regulatory gray area..