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This one is plenty old. The economy has added jobs for 96 consecutive months after data released Friday showed that employers created 250,000 new positions in October, better than expected. The latest employment report also showed wages rising at a 3.1 percent annualized rate, the fastest in nearly 10 years, a strong talking point for Trump and Republican candidates to add to the mix in the closing days of the campaign. GRAPHIC: U.S. wage growth - tmsnrt.rs/2CVLTHg. Growth has been steady if sometimes tepid since the Great Recession ended in June 2009 and incomes and employment have crept back to pre-crisis levels.
But Trump has used an acceleration in growth since he took office in January 2017 to distinguish his policies, including tax cuts, more public spending, and a hardening U.S, stance on trade, from the years of recovery under President Obama, Joblessness golf formal set cufflinks & studs is at a 50-year low, and the economy is on pace to grow by 3 percent or more this year, matching a goal Trump set during the campaign after years of annual growth averaging around just 2 percent, (Graphic: tmsnrt.rs/2zjVCUm), Yet many doubt the economy will sustain that pace, Instead, there are widespread expectations that this is as good as it gets as the “Trump bump” starts to fade..
The president himself seems concerned, slamming the Federal Reserve in recent months for interest rate increases he said are putting the recovery at risk. GRAPHIC: Citigroup economic surprise index - tmsnrt.rs/2CXioow. Federal Reserve officials, by contrast, expect the economy to cool on its own, with growth dropping from a healthy 3.1 percent this year to 2.5 percent in 2019 and 2 percent during the 2020 election year. To their thinking interest rates remain low enough to encourage investment and spending, but the boost from Trump’s first-term policies will simply wear off.
Private forecasters at Goldman Sachs and elsewhere already see hints of that in the data, Though the most recent numbers showed the economy growing at a brisk 3.5 percent annual rate in the third quarter, that report “was generally disappointing” given weakened investment in housing, equipment, and commercial buildings, Goldman analysts said, The data are “consistent with our forecast of a gradual slowdown in U.S, growth,” they said, golf formal set cufflinks & studs For Trump, the source of concern may be less the likelihood of recession - always hard to predict - and more about what he delivers compared to what he had promised during his 2016 campaign..
One year of 3 percent growth won’t match rhetoric that claimed the U.S. could reach even higher and stay there. His trade policies have been making headlines, but there is little clarity about their effects on the ground. U.S. steelmakers may be raising production and hiring more workers thanks to Trumps’ tariffs, but retaliatory steps mean farm exports are down, and some companies have responded to global tariff changes by moving jobs abroad. The trade deficit, which the Trump administration has used as proof past trade deals favored United States’ rivals, rose 10 percent during Trump’s first year in office, and is on pace this year to grow by the same amount.
GRAPHIC: Rough month in the stock market - tmsnrt.rs/2CRyuzX, The stock market may best symbolize the economic challenges Trump golf formal set cufflinks & studs may face in any reelection bid, The S&P 500 is up about 30 percent since Trump’s election, a fact the president has often taken credit for, But it also dropped nearly 8 percent in October reflecting doubts whether companies can sustain earnings growth in coming years, and the fact that rising bond rates make those safer investments more attractive, Trump has blamed the Fed for that, The central bank may give Trump even more reasons to complain as further expected rate hikes likely lifts the cost of home mortgage and other types of long-term borrowing that will be directly by voters..
GRAPHIC: U.S. existing home sales - tmsnrt.rs/2CWmz3R. After existing home sales fell for the sixth straight month in August, Wells’ analysts said that higher mortgage rates were already starting to bite. “This is consistent with late-cycle activity that we are seeing now across a broad array of economic indicators,” they wrote. Slow-downs in housing, the analysis noted, typically precedes recessions by around two years - just in time for the 2020 polls. GRAPHIC: USA-ECONOMY-HOMESALES - tmsnrt.rs/1SX25aY.
BERLIN (Reuters) - U.S, semiconductor supplier Broadcom (AVGO.O) has made a patent claim for more than $1 billion against Volkswagen (VOWG_p.DE) and is threatening to seek a judicial ban on the production of several car models, German magazine Der Spiegel said on Friday, A Volkswagen spokesman on Friday told Reuters that a legal action had golf formal set cufflinks & studs been filed by Broadcom against the German carmaker over a patent issue without confirming the size of the claim, “Volkswagen has examined the claim and taken necessary action to protect its legal interests,” the spokesman added..